Welcome to NFL Week 10 Player Prop Trends, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Brian Thomas Jr Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Don’t let Thomas’s quiet performance against the Eagles—just 2 catches on 4 targets for 22 yards—fool you; he’s been on fire this season! With an 18.4% target share, 25.8% air-yard share, a sizzling 2.52 yards per route run, and a 21.9% first-read share, Thomas is a consistent playmaker. He’s hit the over in 8 out of 9 games (89% clip), averaging 66 receiving yards. Now he’s lining up against a Vikings defense that’s allowing 196 receiving yards to wide receivers—the third most in the league. Plus, quarterbacks are averaging 271 passing yards against Minnesota, ranking them fourth worst. The books have Thomas at 4.5 receptions with minimal juice, and here’s the kicker: with just 3+ receptions, he’s hitting a perfect 100% clip while averaging 68.4 receiving yards. All signs point to another big game for Thomas!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Khalil Shakir Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Looking for a surefire bet this week? Look no further than Shakir, Josh Allen’s newfound go-to weapon! Since Week 7, this guy has been electric—boasting a 21.7% target share, a whopping 2.78 yards per route run, and a 28.4% first-read share. In this three-game stretch, Shakir’s been force-fed the ball with 39.1% of his targets being designed plays making him a reliable catch machine. He’s even stepped up in the red zone with four targets over his last three games. Sure, he had a minor hiccup against the Jets with just 2 targets and 19 yards, but otherwise, he’s been nearly flawless—hitting the over in 7 out of 8 games and averaging 58.9 receiving yards. Now he’s up against a Colts defense that’s generous to wide receivers, allowing 156 receiving yards per game (8th most), and quarterbacks are having a field day against them with 248 passing yards allowed per game (7th most). Vegas has his reception line set at 5.5 (some books even at 6.5), and get this: Shakir has hit over 39.5 receiving yards every time he’s had 5+ receptions, averaging 73.6 yards. Too easy! Time to ride the Shakir train to the bank.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Brock Purdy Over 224.5 Pass Yards
Purdy is having himself a season! Underrated yet again, but he’s been nothing short of spectacular no matter which metric you glance at. Among 38 qualifying passers, he’s third in yards per attempt, fourth in passing yards per game, sixth in CPOE, and 11th in fantasy points per dropback. Purdy has smashed the over in 7 out of 8 games, averaging a cool 262 passing yards per game—the only slip-up was against the Chiefs. This week, he’s facing a Bucs defense that’s as leaky as a sieve, allowing 273.8 passing yards and 37.5 pass attempts per game to QBs—both third-highest in the league! The books have his pass attempts set at 31.5, at 31+ pass attempts Purdy has exceeded this at an impressive 82% rate over his career, and last season he hit the over in all 6 games, averaging 284 passing yards. So gear up, because Purdy is set to sling the ball all game long!
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -103 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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