NFL Player Props for Week 10

NFL Player Prop Week 10

Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 10,  your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.

 

 

NFL Player Prop Trend: Darnell Mooney Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

 

Are we even surprised? I’m riding the Mooney train till the wheels fall off! This man has been absolute gold for us. Darnell Mooney is lighting it up as the WR22 in fantasy points per game, ranking seventh in deep targets, 15th in receptions, and ninth in receiving yards. He’s boasting a 21.9% target share, a whopping 38.3% air-yard share, 2.08 yards per route run, and a 29.4% first-read share. Since Week 2, Mooney has been a BEAST, averaging 71 receiving yards over his last eight games. This week, he’s up against a Saints defense that’s giving up 163 receiving yards per game to wide receivers (fifth most in the league) and 253 passing yards to quarterbacks (sixth most). Now, let’s get to the good part: Mooney’s reception line is set at 4.5 with minimal juice. But who says he needs five catches to cash in? With just 3+ receptions, Mooney is averaging 66 receiving yards and hitting the over at a staggering 95% clip—that’s 19 out of 20 games! The only miss? He fell short by just one yard with 29 receiving yards. So let’s keep the momentum going and ride Mooney to the bank!

NFL Player Prop Trend: Jordan Addison Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

Let’s talk about a matchup that feels like a bettor’s dream: Jordan Addison taking on the woeful Jaguars. Addison’s been quietly consistent, averaging 45.5 receiving yards this season and hitting the over on 19.5 yards in every single game. Now, he’s up against a Jags defense that’s practically inviting wide receivers to rack up stats—they’re allowing a whopping 175 receiving yards to WRs, fourth-most in the league, and quarterbacks are enjoying 275 passing yards per game against them, which is second-most! Sure, Addison might not see a ton of targets, but who needs volume when you’re this efficient? His reception line is set at 3.5 with enticing plus odds, and even at 2.5 receptions, it’s heavily juiced—so we’re looking at at least 3 catches. Here’s the kicker: whenever Addison gets 3 or more receptions, he’s hit the over in all 19 games of his career, averaging 59.6 receiving yards. This is the perfect storm for Addison to light up the stat sheet, so I’m backing him to have a breakout performance against this dreadful Jags defense!

 

NFL Player Prop Trend: Garrett Wilson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

 

Can you even blame me for spotlighting Garrett Wilson in my articles almost every week? The man is a STUD! Wilson is one of the most-targeted receivers in the NFL this season, racking up an impressive 27 targets in his last three games alone. That’s the kind of consistency we love to see, and it cements his status in any matchup. This weekend, he’s facing the Cardinals, a team allowing 158 receiving yards per game to wide receivers—7th most in the league! Quarterbacks are absolutely torching them, averaging 242 passing yards per game (9th most). Most books have Wilson’s receptions line at 5.5 (juiced) or 6.5. Good news for us, because Wilson is EATING when he gets just 5+ receptions—averaging 80.8 receiving yards over his entire career and hitting the over in 25 of 27 games (93%), only missing by a total of 12 yards. At 6+ receptions, he’s flawless, hitting the over in all 19 games he’s had 6 or more catches. Show us the money, Wilson!

 

FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ -142. See you at the finish line 🫡

 

Ready to do your own research or find trends like this?

 

 

Sports Betting Simplified