Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 11, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Rashod Bateman Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
Who else is loving Rashod Bateman this season? If you haven’t been paying attention, now’s the time to jump on the bandwagon! Over the past two weeks, Bateman’s role in the Ravens’ offense has blossomed—his average depth of target (aDOT) has dropped to 10.5, meaning he’s not just stretching the field anymore but becoming a versatile threat. He’s snagged a 23.1% target share with 1.72 yards per route run and a 23.3% first-read share. Finally, Baltimore is unleashing him in the full-spectrum role he deserves! Here’s the kicker: Bateman has hit the over on his receiving yards in all 10 games this season, averaging a cool 50.1 yards per game. This week, he’s up against a Steelers defense that’s been generous to wide receivers, allowing 155.7 receiving yards per game—and from Week 4 onward, that jumps to 172 yards! They also give up 234 passing yards to QBs, ninth most in the league. The books have Bateman’s receptions line at 2.5 or 3.5, and get this: at 2+ receptions, he’s hit the over 90% of the time in his last 30 games; at 3+ receptions, it’s a whopping 92%, hitting the over in 23 out of 25 games.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Bo Nix Over 174.5 Passing Yards
Looking for a surefire pick this week? Since Week 5, Nix has been on fire, ranking as the QB7 in fantasy points per game. Among 31 qualifying passers, he’s 11th in passing grade, 17th in yards per attempt, and 12th in adjusted completion rate. But here’s where it gets juicy: at home, Nix is a monster, averaging 238 passing yards and hitting the over in all four home games this season. Now he’s up against the Falcons, a team that’s been leaking yards like a sieve—allowing 225 passing yards to QBs on average, which balloons to a whopping 282 yards over their last three games. With the Falcons’ defense in shambles, betting on Nix to smash the over at 174.5 passing yards seems like a no-brainer!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jordan Love Over 174.5 Passing Yards
FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ -112. See you at the finish line 🫡
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