NFL Player Props for Week 11: Monday Night Football

Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 11: Monday Night Football your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.

NFL Player Prop Trend: Dalton Schultz Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

After five seasons wearing the Cowboys’ star, Schultz finally gets his shot at revenge this Monday night—and he’s on fire! He’s carved out his niche with his new team, hitting the over in seven straight games, rocking a 13.7% target share, 1.12 yards per route run, and a 12.9% first-read share. Sure, he’s only had two red zone targets this season and hasn’t seen the end zone since Week 4, but here’s the kicker: the Cowboys are surrendering 42 receiving yards per game to tight ends, and that number jumps to 53 yards since Week 5. Books have him juiced at 2.5 receptions, some even at 3.5, but get this—when he hits 3+ receptions, he’s nailed the over in 29 out of his last 30 games, a staggering 97% hit rate!

NFL Player Prop Trend: C.J. Stroud Over 174.5 Pass Yards

Alright folks, while I don’t mind taking Stroud at 199.5 passing yards, if you know me, you know I like to play it a bit safer—which is why I’m all in on the 174.5 passing yards line! Let’s face it, Stroud hasn’t exactly been setting the world on fire as the QB22 in points per game, with only two QB1 finishes all season and none since Week 4. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he’s 18th in yards per attempt, 26th in CPOE, and 28th in fantasy points per dropback. His biggest nemesis? Pressure! His leaky offensive line has allowed the third-highest pressure rate, and with Dallas ranking third in pressure rate since Week 5, it’s not getting any easier. But here’s the kicker: Stroud has smashed 175 passing yards in 9 out of 10 games—a whopping 90% hit rate! The books have him at 30.5 or 31.5 pass attempts, and every time he’s thrown 25+ passes, he’s hit this over. That’s why I’m confidently backing the 174.5 line over the 199.5 line.

NFL Player Prop Trend: Joe Mixon Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

All aboard the Joe Mixon express—the final leg of my parlay that’s set to steamroll the Cowboys this week! Despite averaging just 1.8 yards per carry in a tough matchup last week, Mixon still piled up 90 total yards and notched his seventh touchdown in five games. Now he faces a Dallas defense that’s been more generous than a holiday sale, allowing 111 rushing yards per game to running backs—the seventh highest in the league. Since Week 6, that number has ballooned to a whopping 129 yards, with RBs hitting at least 104 yards against them. Mixon has been a beast on the road, averaging 120 rushing yards and hitting the over in all four away games. The sportsbooks have his rush attempts set at a sky-high 20.5 or 21.5, but when Mixon gets 18+ carries, he’s crushed the over every time except last week when he dominated through the air. This matchup is a dream scenario for Mixon to rush for 100 yards!

FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ -125 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡

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