NFL Player Props for Week 12: Thursday Night Football

Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 12: Thursday Night Football your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.

NFL Player Prop Trend: Russell Wilson Over 149.5 Pass Yards

I can’t wrap my head around this line—grabbing it at -350 on Fliff to kick off our parlay feels like a total steal, especially when I’m loving the 174.5 line as well! Wilson has been on fire since stepping in for the Steelers, hitting the over in all four games while averaging a hefty 235.5 passing yards. Out of 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he’s 11th in yards per attempt, 15th in passer rating, 24th in CPOE, and 35th in catchable target rate. After last week’s rough outing against the Ravens, he’s primed for a bounce-back against the Browns. The books have him at 26.5 or 27.5 pass attempts, which should only boost your confidence in this line. Remember when he struggled with the Broncos last season? Well, with 23+ pass attempts, he’s nailed the over in 12 out of 12 games—that’s a 100% hit rate! Over a 30-game span, he’s hit this over in 29 out of 30 games, a whopping 97% success rate. Fun fact: the last time he missed this line at 23+ pass attempts was back in November 2022!

NFL Player Prop Trend: Jerry Jeudy Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

Have you noticed how much Winston is loving Jeudy lately? In their three games together with Winston under center, Jeudy has soared to WR10 in fantasy points per game! He’s commanding a 21.6% target share and leading the team with a 25.7% first-read share, boasting an impressive 2.18 yards per route run and averaging 98 receiving yards per game. Jeudy’s been a red-zone magnet, earning two end-zone targets and one red-zone target during this stretch. Now, let’s talk about the Steelers: they’re allowing 148 receiving yards per game this season, the 14th most in the league. Since Week 6, they’ve given up the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. And here’s the kicker on Jeudy’s receptions: the books have his line at 3.5 with some juice, which should make you feel pretty confident. At 3+ receptions, Jeudy has hit the over in 29 of his last 30 games—that’s a staggering 97% hit rate!

NFL Player Prop Trend: Najee Haris Over 39.5 Rushing Yards

Get ready for a show, folks—Harris is about to have a field day against the Browns! He’s ranked 23rd in opportunity share, sixth in carries, and ninth in red zone touches, averaging a solid 19.6 touches and 89 total yards per game. Among 53 qualifying backs, Harris sits sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 6, Cleveland’s defense has been leaking like a sieve, allowing the sixth-highest explosive run rate and missed tackle rate, plus the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt. Here’s the kicker: Harris has hit the over in 9 out of 10 games this season, and the books have his rush attempts at just 18.5! Feeling good yet? When Harris gets 14+ rush attempts, he’s nailed the over in 29 out of 30 games—that’s a 97% hit rate! And at 15+ rush attempts? A flawless 100% over his entire career!

FYI: I combined all three Fliff @ -110 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡

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