Welcome to NFL Week 12 Player Prop Trends, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jayden Daniels Over 174.5 Passing Yards
Feeling a bit jittery about Jayden Daniels? You’re not alone! Over the past two weeks, he’s averaged just five rushing attempts and a meager 11.5 rushing yards per game—a far cry from his explosive performances in Weeks 1-9, where he dipped below eight rushing attempts and 35 rushing yards only once. His passing stats haven’t picked up the slack either, but here’s the silver lining: if Daniels bounces back, he’s set to torch the Dallas pass defense. Since Week 6, the Cowboys have allowed the fourth-highest success rate per dropback, the highest yards per attempt, the second-highest passer rating, and the sixth-highest CPOE. Despite an early exit against the Panthers, Daniels has consistently hit the over, averaging 233 passing yards per game. The books have him pegged at 27.5 to 29.5 pass attempts, but here’s the kicker—he only needs 22 pass attempts to hit this over, a feat he’s accomplished in every game of his career.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Josh Jacobs Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
Jacobs is absolutely crushing it this season, averaging a solid 83.8 rushing yards and hitting the over in 9 out of 10 games—the only exception being a narrow miss against the Titans by just 7 yards. He’s ranked 15th in snap share, 11th in weighted opportunities, and 18th in red zone touches, racking up an impressive 19.9 touches and 102.4 total yards per game. Among 53 qualifying backs, Jacobs shines as he’s 21st in missed tackles forced per attempt and seventh in yards after contact per attempt. The Packers are poised to lean on him again this week, especially with the 49ers’ run defense showing cracks since Week 6—they’ve allowed the second-highest missed tackle rate, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-highest rushing success rate. The books have set Jacobs at 17.5 rush attempts, and here’s the kicker: when he gets 15 or more rushes, he’s hit the over in all 6 games this season and 27 out of 30 games overall—a whopping 90% hit rate. Even better, with 17 or more rush attempts at home, he’s smashed the over in 17 of 18 games throughout his career.
NFL Player Prop Trend: DK Metcalf Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Get ready to ride the DK Metcalf express this weekend, folks! After a two-game hiatus due to injury, Metcalf roared back into action last week with seven catches for 70 yards, reminding everyone of his game-changing potential. Sure, he’s been a bit of a fantasy wild card—three top-10 finishes mixed with five outside the top 24—but that’s the thrill of betting on a guy who can explode any given Sunday. And explode he will against the Cardinals, who’ve been as sturdy as a wet paper bag against wide receivers, coughing up 150 receiving yards this season. Their only defensive highlight was against the Jets, and let’s face it, Aaron Rodgers isn’t exactly lighting up scoreboards these days. With quarterbacks averaging 233 passing yards per game against Arizona (9th most in the league), Metcalf is primed to feast. The sportsbooks have his receptions line at 4.5 or 5.5, but here’s the kicker: at 4+ receptions he’s a perfect 6-for-6 and an eye-popping 20-for-20 over a longer stretch. In case you didn’t know – that’s a 100% hit rate!
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -118 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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