NFL Player Props for Week 13: Monday Night Football

NFL Player Prop Trends

Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 13: Monday Night Football your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.

 

 

NFL Player Prop Trend: Courtland Sutton Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

 

Is there anyone hotter right now than Courtland Sutton? After a Week 7 goose egg, Sutton has bounced back spectacularly to become the overall WR2 over the past five weeks, amassing 36 receptions for 467 yards and three touchdowns. Always known for his explosive playmaking, he’s finally getting the volume to match. Tonight, he faces a Browns defense that struggles against man coverage—a perfect setup since Sutton is averaging an impressive 2.57 yards per route run versus man this year. The sportsbooks have his receptions line at 5.5 with minimal juice, but the real value is at over 4.5 receptions. Here’s why you should feel confident: when Sutton catches 4 or more passes, he’s averaging 78.3 receiving yards this season, hitting the over in 7 of 8 games. Stretch that out over a longer span, and he’s hit this over in 27 of his last 30 games—a staggering 90% hit rate! At 5+ receptions, he’s been unstoppable, averaging 89 receiving yards this season and hitting the over in all 6 games. Throughout his career, he’s cleared this over in 23 of 24 games with 5+ catches, missing only once by a mere 3 yards. With the Browns allowing 157 receiving yards to wide receivers this season, all signs point to Sutton smashing the over tonight!

NFL Player Prop Trend: Devaughn Vele Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

Put your money on Bo Nix’s 2nd favorite target, Devaughn Vele! This guy has been on fire, finishing as a top 24 wide receiver in two of his last three games (that’s WR21 and WR22 for you stat nerds). He’s snagged two red zone targets in that span and since Week 10, he’s boasting a 17.1% target share, an eye-popping 3.79 yards per route run, and a 22.4% first-read share. Tonight, Vele goes up against a Browns defense that’s been more generous than a holiday grandma, allowing the fifth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers. He’s averaging 45.1 receiving yards this season and has hit the over in 7 out of 8 games—that’s an 88% hit rate! The books have him at 3.5 receptions with minimal juice, but here’s the kicker: At 3+ receptions, Vele has hit this over in every single game of his career.

 

NFL Player Prop Trend: Bo Nix Over 199.5 Passing Yards

 

NFL Player Prop Trends

 

Bo Nix is on a tear! After averaging a modest 173 passing yards in his first five games, he’s skyrocketed to an insane 260 yards per game over the last five—nearly doubling his output! Since Week 5, Nix has been a fantasy football phenom, ranking as the QB6 in points per game. Among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he’s fourth in passing touchdowns, seventh in passer rating, sixth in CPOE, and 12th in highly accurate throw rate. This week, he’s poised for another monster performance, especially with Cleveland’s pass defense unraveling since Week 7—they’re allowing the third-highest yards per attempt, second-highest passer rating, fourth-highest CPOE, and eighth-most passing touchdowns. The sportsbooks have Nix’s pass attempts set at 32.5 to 33.5, and here’s the kicker: when he throws 27 or more passes, he’s averaging 242 passing yards and has hit the over in all nine games!

 

FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ +100 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡

 

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