Welcome to NFL Week 16 Player Prop Trends, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Malik Nabers Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
Are you ready to ride the Malik Nabers train? Because let’s face it, the Giants’ playbook practically screams, “Throw to Malik Nabers!” He’s coming off a monster game with 14 targets, ten receptions, 82 yards, and a score—his first visit to the end zone since Week 3. With a 32.2% target share, 2.04 yards per route run, and 42.3% of the first-read share, Nabers is nothing short of a target hog. Plus, he’s been an absolute beast on the over, hitting his receiving yard prop at a 92% clip and averaging 75 yards. Going up against Atlanta since Week 10 is fantasy gold, as they’ve allowed the most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. With books setting his receptions line at 6.5, keep in mind that when Nabers has at least five receptions, he’s averaging 78 yards and has never missed the over. So buckle up, load up on the Nabers props, and let’s cash some tickets!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Khalil Shakir Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Looking for a sneaky good bet this week? Check out Khalil Shakir, who’s quietly smashing this line in 12 of his last 13 games (that’s a 92% hit rate!), and who’s been the WR25 in fantasy scoring since Week 7 with eight red-zone targets (two TDs) during that span. He’s racking up a 23.9% target share, notching 2.40 yards per route run, and claiming an impressive 29.7% first-read share over the same stretch. Meanwhile, New England has been friendly to slot receivers since Week 10, allowing the 14th-most PPR points per target and the sixth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. Most books list Shakir at 4.5 receptions, while Fanatics has him at 5.5, but here’s the kicker: at 3+ receptions, he’s a perfect 24-for-24 in his career. Now that’s a stat worth betting on!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jalen Hurts Over 149.5 Passing Yards
Strap in, folks, because trusting Jalen Hurts can sometimes feel like riding a roller coaster—he can go off for 300 yards one week or barely crack 120 the next. Last Sunday, he nearly hit 300 (290 to be exact), his most prolific day since Week 3, and there’s reason to believe he’ll keep it rolling against Washington. After all, Hurts has torched them seven times in a row, averaging 269 passing yards, and Washington’s bottom-10 defense versus both run and pass is practically begging him to do it again. The books set his pass attempts at 25.5, but here’s the kicker: if he throws 22 or more times, he’s averaged 239 passing yards per game over the last 30 and has hit this over 93% of the time. Even better, he’s 8-for-8 this season. Translation? The over looks like a winner.
FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ -126 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
Ready to do your own research or find trends like this?
