Welcome to MLB Player Prop Trends (10/01/24), your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every day, we’re serving up insights via our Optimizer to make the sharpest picks. So go ahead—bookmark this page and never miss out on the action! Ready to knock it out of the park? Let’s dive right in!
MLB Player Prop Trend: Luis Arraez o1.5 HRR
Playoff Baseball is here, and Luis Arraez is a name to watch! With a 60% hit rate and an average of 2.3 hits + runs + RBIs (HRR) over his last 20 games, Arraez’s numbers climb to 61% against the Braves in his last 23 games, and an incredible 87% hit rate over his last 8 games against them, averaging 2.5 HRR. Whether it’s Bryce Elder or Ian Anderson pitching for Atlanta, Arraez is primed to feast on right-handed pitchers. Over his last 15 games against righties, Arraez is batting .305 with a .752 OPS, and that bumps up to .327 at home. If Elder is on the mound, Arraez has a strong .333 batting average with an .867 OPS in 15 plate appearances against him, thriving against Elder’s sinker (.350 BA) and slider (.294 BA). If Ian Anderson pitches, Arraez is just as dangerous, batting .374 against the four-seamer and .318 against the changeup. In short, Arraez crushes right-handed pitching, and whether it’s Elder or Anderson on the mound, he’s poised for another big game.
MLB Player Prop Trend: Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
I’m honestly shocked that we’re getting Jose Altuve at -210 on BetMGM, ESPN Bet, and Hard Rock, while FanDuel has him at -260. We’re talking about a hitting machine here, and finding this kind of value is rare. Altuve has a 75% hit rate this season, averaging 1.2 hits per game, and when playing at home, his hit rate jumps to 77%. Today, he’s facing Skubal, and Altuve has a fantastic track record against him, boasting a .364 batting average and a 1.280 OPS over his career when facing Skubal. And here’s the cherry on top: Over his last 10 games against left-handed pitchers, Altuve’s batting average is an incredible .478 with a 1.259 OPS. With numbers like these, it’s hard not to be excited.
MLB Player Prop Trend: Victor Caratini o0.5 HRR
At just -160 on BetMGM and ESPN Bet, betting on Victor Caratini feels like a steal. He’s been on fire with an 80% hit rate over his last 10 games, averaging 2.1 HRR, and is even better against the Tigers with a 100% hit rate, averaging 2 HRR in his last four games against them. Today, he’s facing Tarik Skubal, and Caratini boasts a .333 batting average and .294 wOBA against him. His numbers against left-handed pitchers are even more impressive, with a .429 batting average and 1.071 OPS over his last 10 games. Skubal’s main pitches—Four-Seamer, Changeup, and Sinker—don’t seem to bother Caratini, as he’s hitting .381 against the Four-Seamer and .273 against the Changeup. With these stats, Caratini is set to crush it again, making this bet a smart and valuable play
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