Welcome to NFL Player Prop Trends (10/14/24), your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Going forward I will be providing a daily NFL Article. So make sure you bookmark MySpariInsights as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Breece Hall Over 39.5 Rush Yards
In his first three weeks, Hall went beast mode, racking up 170 rushing yards and punching in 3 touchdowns. It was like watching a freight train barreling through defenses! But, hold up, because things have cooled down a bit. His rush attempts have dropped like a bad Wi-Fi signal—from an average of 15.3 attempts per game in the first three weeks to just 9.5 over the last two games. Here’s where things get interesting. Jets’ new coach, Jeff Ulbrich, has been preaching a run-first offense. But talk is cheap, right? Let’s break it down where it matters—on the field. The Bills are allowing 108.6 rushing yards per game. Not bad, but not impenetrable. Their stingiest performance was in Week 1, when they only gave up 63 rushing yards, but even then, they have allowed 23 rushing attempts per game. Now, the books have Hall’s rush attempts line set at 13.5 tonight, JUICED. So, it’s pretty likely we’ll see him get at least 14 carries. But what does that mean for his yardage? Here’s the sweet part—whenever Breece has 14 attempts, he’s hit at a 100% clip over his career, averaging a cool 94.9 rushing yards. That’s money in the bank! But wait, what if the Jets decide to stick around 13 attempts? Don’t sweat it—Hall still hits at an 85% rate when given that number of carries. This guy is built to perform!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Garrett Wilson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Aaron Rodgers has a go-to guy, and that guy is Garrett Wilson. Last week, Wilson was targeted a whopping 23 times against the Vikings, while averaging 11 targets per game. In recent trends, Wilson has hit his reception over in 4 of his last 5 games—an impressive 80% success rate. Over 20 games, that 80% hit rate holds steady. Now, the Bills’ defense is tough, allowing just 114.6 receiving yards to WRs per game. But here’s the kicker: sportsbooks have Wilson’s reception line at 5.5, and even 6.5 on Fanatics and FanDuel. Wilson has a 100% hit rate in games where he catches 6+ receptions—that’s 17 out of 17 games! Even with 5 receptions, he’s hit the over in 21 of 23 games, a 91% hit rate. Bottom line: Rodgers will target Wilson a lot, and whether he racks up 5 or 6 receptions, Wilson should easily pick up 40+ yards.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Breece Hall Over 1.5 Receptions
When it comes to the Buffalo Bills, we all know they’re a formidable team, but even the best have their weaknesses. For Buffalo, it’s clear: they struggle to defend against running backs who can catch the ball. In fact, they’re giving up 62 receiving yards per game to running backs (most in the NFL). Oh, and did I mention they also allow 7.2 receptions per game to RBs (most in the NFL)? Now, let’s talk about the guy primed to take full advantage of this—Mr. Breece Hall! Hall is already a reception machine, averaging 4.2 catches per game, and he’s hit this mark 100% of the time this season. No flukes here, folks. In his last 20 games, Hall has smashed this line 90% of the time. Consistency is the name of his game! So, what’s the play? Breece Hall isn’t just in a fantastic spot to pick up some rush yards, but the receptions line is calling his name.
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -120 Odds. Best of luck tonight!
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