Welcome to NFL Player Prop Trends (10/18/24), your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Brian Thomas Jr Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Alright, folks, I know people love to rail against Trevor Lawrence, but believe it or not, he’s been putting up impressive numbers this season with over 1,300 passing yards and 8 touchdowns already—he’s currently ranked among the top quarterbacks in passing yards and touchdowns; love him or hate him, the numbers don’t lie! Now, let’s focus on one of his key targets, Brian Thomas Jr, who has been hitting the over on receiving yards consistently this season, averaging around 70 receiving yards per game; sure, he might have had a down week recently with just 27 receiving yards, but don’t let that scare you—this weekend, he’ll face a defense that’s allowing over 150 receiving yards per game to wide receivers (among the most in the league) and more than 13 receptions per game to WRs, plus they’ve given up over 7 yards per attempt; this should be an easy sweat for the early morning, and he should be able to get this in the first half!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Kyle Pitts Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts is back and looking pretty sexy for your bets this week! After a rocky start to the season, Pitts has seen a significant uptick in targets—13 over the last two weeks—and with Kirk Cousins eyeing his biggest passing line yet at 266.5 yards, Pitts could be the prime beneficiary. Pitts has hit the over on his receiving yards in 4 out of 6 games this season, and he’s facing the Seahawks, whose strong secondary against WRs hides a glaring weakness: they allow tight ends to do whatever they want! The Seahawks are giving up an average of 57.3 receiving yard (4th most), 7.1 targets, and 5.5 receptions per game to TEs. Meanwhile, Pitts is averaging 3 receptions per game, and when he hits that mark, he crushes it—he’s hit the over 91% of the time in his career (29/32 games), and an even more impressive 94% at home (15/16 games). With Cousins poised for a big game, the Seahawks’ soft spot against tight ends, and Pitts heating up, the stars are aligning—so lock it in, and may the betting gods be ever in our favor!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Patrick Mahomes Over 199.5 Pass Yards
We’ve got a sizzler of a Super Bowl rematch as the 49ers square off with the Chiefs, and all eyes are on Patrick Mahomes and his arm! This season, Mahomes is averaging 247 passing yards per game and has hit the over in 4 out of 5 games. Over his career, he’s practically a guaranteed payday—hitting the over on passing yards in 89% of his games, averaging 291.8 yards. Against the 49ers? San Fran allows 228 passing yards per game to QBs, and they’re giving up 32.3 pass attempts per game, 13th most in the league. The books have Mahomes’ pass attempts set at 33.5, and here’s where it gets exciting: When Mahomes has 28 or more pass attempts, he has a 100% hit rate for smashing his passing yards prop, averaging 297 yards on the road. Basically, they’re handing us a golden ticket to the Over Club! With all signs pointing toward Mahomes throwing a ton and the 49ers defense allowing just enough yardage, you should be loading up on Mahomes Over 199.5 passing yards.
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -107 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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