Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 12, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Tua Tagovailoa Over 199.5 Passing Yards
There’s no better way to kick off this Single Game Parlay (SGP) than by putting our faith in Tua Tagovailoa! Aside from his early exit against Buffalo, Tua has been on absolute fire, hitting the over in all five of his games and averaging a cool 259 passing yards. Since Week 8, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he’s ranked 16th in yards per attempt, seventh in passer rating, 14th in Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE), and 19th in fantasy points per dropback. But don’t let those mid-pack stats fool you—Tua is primed to flirt with QB1 status this week against a New England pass defense that’s been, let’s say, generous. Since Week 6, the Patriots have allowed the 12th-highest yards per attempt, sixth-most passing touchdowns, seventh-highest passer rating, and fifth-highest CPOE to opposing quarterbacks. The sportsbooks have Tua’s pass attempts set between 31.5 and 32.5, and here’s the kicker: when Tua throws 29 or more passes, he averages a whopping 281 passing yards over a 30-game span, hitting the over in 28 of those games! The two times he missed? He was shy by just a combined eight yards.
NFL Player Prop Trend: De’Von Achane Over 29.5 Rush Yards
Tua Tagovailoa may be the heartbeat of the Dolphins’ offense, but let’s not overlook the electric De’Von Achane, who’s nearly matching Tua beat for beat! Every time Tua is under center, Achane shines brighter, solidifying his spot as Miami’s go-to back over Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright. Just check the stats: over the past three weeks, Achane has racked up a staggering 58 touches, leaving Mostert and Wright in the dust with just 17 each. Now, he’s set to face a New England defense that’s been generous to running backs, surrendering the 10th-most fantasy points and ranking 28th in DVOA against the run. The sportsbooks are listing his rush attempts between 13.5 and 15.5, but here’s the kicker: Achane has smashed the over every single time he’s had 11 or more rush attempts—that’s a perfect 10 for 10 in his career!
NFL Player Prop Trend: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 29.5 Rush Yards
FYI: I combined all three on Fliff AND also added over 33.5 Total @ -120 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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