NFL Player Props for Week 13: Thanksgiving Football

Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 13: Thanksgiving Football your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.

NFL Player Prop Trend: Keenan Allen Over 3.5 Receptions

Guess who’s back and better than ever? Since returning from injury, Allen has been making waves, proving he’s the heartbeat of this offense. Over the past four games, he’s averaging 5.5 receptions and 51.7 receiving yards per game. Coming off a huge performance where he snagged nine catches for 86 yards with a whopping 31.3% target share and 36.8% first-read share, he’s primed for another stellar outing in Week 13. Since Week 11, Allen’s been the go-to guy, leading the team with a 29.1% target share, a 33.8% first-read share, and even grabbing an end zone target while posting 1.61 yards per route run. Now, he’s up against the Detroit Lions, who’ve been hemorrhaging yards to slot receivers all season—allowing the most receiving yards and a staggering 15.2 receptions per game to wide receivers! Over the last five games, they’ve surrendered 21.6 targets per game to WRs and are giving up 187 receiving yards per game, second most in the league. All signs point to Allen lighting it up today—he’s in an excellent spot to deliver big time!

NFL Player Prop Trend: Malik Nabers Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

No matter who’s under center—whether it’s Drew Lock or Tommy DeVito—I firmly believe Nabers is the go-to guy. Last week, he finished as the WR25 with an impressive 28.1% target share, a commanding 43.9% air-yard share, 64 receiving yards (that’s 1.73 yards per route run), and a hefty 34.8% first-read share. Since Week 6, Dallas has been generous to perimeter receivers, allowing the tenth-most PPR points per target. In the last four games, the Cowboys have surrendered 169 receiving yards per game to wideouts, up from their season average of 153 yards, and they’re giving up 17.2 targets per game in that span. The cherry on top? Nabers has hit the over 100% of the time this season, and the books have his receptions set at 6.5 with some juice. When he reels in 5 or more catches, he’s averaging a whopping 78.8 receiving yards. All signs point to Nabers being in a perfect spot

NFL Player Prop Trend: Josh Jacobs Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

If you’re not already on the Josh Jacobs train, it’s time to hop aboard because this guy is on absolute fire! Over his last five games, he’s not just hitting the over on his rushing yards—he’s obliterating it, averaging a whopping 96 yards per game. Jacobs has been a touchdown machine lately, bulldozing his way into the end zone multiple times and leaving defenders in the dust. With the Packers gearing up for their next matchup, Jacobs is primed for another monster performance. He’s set to face a run-funnel defense, ranking 26th in DVOA against the run. The Dolphins might have a decent run defense on paper, but they’re still giving up an average of 65.8 rushing yards and 17.1 attempts over their last six games. Jacobs has smashed the over in 10 out of 11 games this season, averaging 85 rushing yards per game. The books have him at 17.5 rush attempts with some juice, and here’s the kicker: when he gets 15+ rush attempts, he’s hit the over in 27 of 30 games—that’s a 90% hit rate! Pump that up to 18+ attempts, and it skyrockets to a 96% hit rate, missing the mark only once in his career by a mere two yards.

FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -115 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡

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