NFL Player Props for Week 14: Thursday Night Football
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Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 14: Thursday Night Football your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jameson Williams Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
If you’re glancing at these stats and not feeling that spark, think again—because Williams is quietly killing it on the field! Slotted as the WR35 in fantasy points per game with four top-24 outings this season, he’s rocking a 17.7% target share, a 32.6% air-yard share, an impressive 2.32 YPRR, and a 24.1% first-read share. Facing a defense that’s just 17th in PPR points per target allowed since Week 8, Detroit should let it fly, and while the Packers have been stingy on total yards to opposing wideouts, Williams shines in the receptions market. Right now, he’s flirting with a low-juice 3.5 reception line and a juiced-up 2.5 over, which he’s crushed in 7 of his last 8 games—averaging 78 yards when he hits that modest threshold. With just one near-miss last week (short by two yards).
NFL Player Prop Trend: Sam LaPorta Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta might’ve had a wacky outing last week—just 6 yards but 2 touchdowns!—yet he remains a sneaky-good bet this week against Green Bay, who’ve been surprisingly generous to opposing tight ends. Sporting a TE14 fantasy ranking, LaPorta’s no slouch: he’s fifth in deep targets, tenth in red zone targets, and posts a 12.9% target share with 1.64 YPRR. The Packers have given up the sixth-most receiving yards per game, 12th-most yards per reception, and tenth-most fantasy points to TEs, making LaPorta’s set line of 3.5 receptions look tasty. At 3+ catches, he’s put up 38 yards on average, hitting that mark in 3 of 4 games this season and a scorching 11 of 14 over his career. Considering the last time a TE1 failed to top 20 yards against Green Bay was Week 7, and since then they’ve coughed up an average of 53 yards to opposing top tight ends, this over looks too good to pass up.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 39.5 Rushing Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs looked electric slicing through the Chicago defense on Thanksgiving, but an early fumble near the goal line led to David Montgomery taking the spotlight in the second half. Still, Gibbs tallied over 100 scrimmage yards despite limited touches and no touchdowns. This week, he takes on the Packers, who’ve only been allowing around 87 rushing yards to opposing backs—a tough benchmark, but if anyone can smash that line, it’s Gibbs. He’s hit this over in every one of his 12 games this season, and he’s rocking a perfect 3-for-3 stretch against Green Bay, averaging 53 rushing yards. Don’t sweat the 12.5 rush attempts the books are hanging—Gibbs doesn’t need much volume to get there, having averaged 80 yards this season and going 19-for-20 on the over in his career at just 11+ rush attempts is as good as it gets.
FYI: I combined all three on Fliff @ -110 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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