Welcome to NFL Player Props for Week 16, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Kyler Murray Over 174.5 Pass Yards
If you’re scratching your head about Murray, don’t fret—this week might just be his sweet spot for a strong performance. He currently ranks as QB14 in fantasy points per game with only two QB1 finishes in his last six, largely thanks to heavy two-high coverage and a fading rushing floor (only once surpassing 22 yards on the ground since Week 8). But the script could flip against the Panthers, who use single-high coverage at the seventh-highest rate (59.7%)—a look that plays right into Murray’s strengths, where he ranks 15th in passer rating, seventh in hero throw rate, and 11th in fantasy points per dropback. Despite a gauntlet of tough matchups, he’s still averaged 231 passing yards over his last 10 games (an 80% hit rate), and the Panthers have been generous since Week 10, surrendering the eighth-most passing touchdowns and the eighth-highest CPOE. Sportsbooks have Murray hovering around 30.5–31.5 pass attempts, and when he hits just 25+ attempts, he averages 230 yards and clears the over at a 90% clip over his last 30 outings; at 30+ attempts, he’s soared past that line in 19 of his last 20 games (95% hit rate)
NFL Player Prop Trend: Tee Higgins Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
NFL Player Prop Trend: Brock Bowers Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers may have been a letdown these past couple of weeks, but buckle up because he’s got an ideal matchup against a Jaguars defense that ranks second-worst in DVOA versus tight ends and has surrendered seven touchdowns to the position. The Jags have already let Dalton Schultz (61 yards), Josh Oliver (52), T.J. Hockenson (72), Tucker Kraft (78), Hunter Henry (92), and Cole Kmet (70) put up decent numbers, so there’s no reason Bowers can’t cruise past 50 yards. Books have his receptions at 6.5, but here’s the kicker: with 5+ grabs, Bowers averages 87 yards at an 89% success rate, and at 6+ receptions he’s a perfect 100% on the over. I strongly believe Bowers is going to bounceback heavily today and he should put up big numbers.
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock@ -118 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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