Welcome to NFL Week 8 Player Prop Trends, your daily source for the best FREE props with the hottest trends and best odds. Every week I try and find you the best Props so you can either Parlay all 3 picks or maybe one you like for your own Parlays. Be sure to Bookmark this page as I will always have an article for you all! Now let’s get to it.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Darnell Mooney Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Since Week 4, I’ve been all aboard the Mooney train, and who can blame me—the man is an absolute STUD! He’s boasting a 100% hit rate over his last six games, averaging a cool 66.5 receiving yards per outing. Today, he’s lining up against a Bucs defense that’s hemorrhaging 162 receiving yards to WRs per game—the sixth most in the league—and allowing an insane 22.2 targets per game to wideouts (third most overall). Mooney’s snagging a 20.5% target share, commanding a hefty 32.4% of the air yards, posting 1.76 yards per route run, and owning a 26.8% first-read share. If he and Cousins can connect deep against a secondary that’s given up the 11th-most deep passing yards and the tenth-highest deep passer rating, we’re looking at a potential field day.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Garrett Wilson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Let’s talk about Garrett Wilson and how he’s defying all expectations—even with Davante Adams now rocking Jets green! I thought Adams joining the squad would clip Wilson’s wings, but boy, was I wrong. Wilson still hauled in nine targets with Adams on the field and is averaging a hefty 10.9 targets per game. With his receiving yards line set at just 39.5, he’s smashed the over in six out of seven games—that’s an 86% hit rate! The only hiccup? Against the Patriots, the team he’s facing today. But don’t sweat it! Last time, Christian Gonzalez shadowed him on nearly 89% of his routes, but history isn’t likely to repeat itself. Gonzalez hasn’t shadowed a receiver since Week 5 against Tyreek Hill, and it’s doubtful he’ll lock down either Wilson or Adams this week. Plus, Wilson’s been a beast on the road with a perfect 100% hit rate, averaging nearly 70 receiving yards per away game. And here’s the kicker: the Patriots are allowing 154 receiving yards to wide receivers—the eighth most in the league! All signs point to Wilson soaring over that modest 39.5-yard mark today.
NFL Player Prop Trend: DeVonta Smith Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Smith is on a tear this season, averaging a solid 60.2 receiving yards per game—but wait, if we toss out that unexpected goose egg against the Giants last week, his average rockets up to a whopping 75.7 yards! So when the sportsbooks gift us a line at just 24.5 receiving yards against the Bengals, it’s like finding money on the sidewalk. The Bengals are hemorrhaging yards to wide receivers, allowing a generous 143 per game, and they’re giving up 20.7 targets to WRs—the sixth-most in the league! Smith isn’t just any receiver; he’s commanding a 23.2% target share, snagging 34.1% of air yards, boasting 2.10 yards per route run (YPRR), and grabbing a 31% first-read share. Against single-high coverage, he’s even better: his target share bumps up to 26.8%, YPRR climbs to 2.59, and first-read share ticks up to 32.1%. This matchup screams “bounce-back game” in what promises to be a high-scoring showdown with Cincinnati’s shaky secondary. And here’s the kicker: the books have Smith’s receptions super juiced at 4.5. At 3+ receptions, Smith has hit this over every. single. time.
FYI: I combined all three on Hard Rock @ -138 Odds. See you at the finish line 🫡
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