This week’s slate of Anytime Touchdown (TD) picks is packed with high-value plays and strong matchups. Below, I’ll break down each pick, providing key insights to help you make the smartest choices.
Let’s dive right into the top picks for Week 7.
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1. David Montgomery (Detroit Lions) – Anytime TD (-110 Fliff)
- Montgomery has been an absolute TD machine this season, scoring in 17 of 20 games while sharing the backfield with Jahmyr Gibbs.
- Even with Gibbs in the mix, Montgomery is the guy who gets the ball inside the five-yard line, solidifying his role as the go-to back in scoring situations.
- Matchup: Facing the Minnesota Vikings, who are ranked 2nd in rush defense, allowing just 67.2 rushing yards per game. Despite this, Montgomery’s goal-line usage makes him a solid TD pick.
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2. Derrick Henry (Baltimore Ravens) – Anytime TD (-185 Caesars)
- Derrick Henry has scored a TD in every game this season, consistently proving that he’s still the king of the red zone.
- The Ravens will continue to feed Henry, especially inside the 10-yard line, where he is their most reliable weapon.
- Matchup: The Baltimore Ravens play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, whose defense is allowing 113.3 rushing yards per game. Henry’s red-zone usage makes him a strong TD candidate.
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3. Kyren Williams (Los Angeles Rams) – Anytime TD (-180 Fliff)
- Williams has been a touchdown machine for the Rams, finding the end zone both on the ground and through the air.
- He’s scored two or more TDs in almost 40% of his starts and remains the Rams’ top offensive threat inside the red zone.
- Matchup: The Rams face the Las Vegas Raiders, who rank 23rd in rushing defense, giving up 140.3 yards per game. This weak defensive front makes Williams a top candidate to score.
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4. Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts) – Anytime TD (-135 Hardrock)
- Taylor’s talent has never been in question—he’s one of the most dynamic rushers in the NFL, especially when healthy.
- Despite his recent injury history, Taylor is back in form, and the Colts will lean on him heavily, regardless of who’s under center.
- Matchup: The Indianapolis Colts face the Miami Dolphins, who are allowing 125.8 rushing yards per game. Taylor’s ability to break big plays makes him a solid bet for an anytime TD.
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5: Brian Robinson Jr. (Washington Commanders) – Anytime TD (-135 MGM)
- Robinson continues to be a TD threat every time the Commanders are in the red zone, and this week should be no different.
- He has been effective both as a runner and a receiver, making him a versatile option for anytime TD bets.
- Matchup: The Commanders take on the Carolina Panthers, who have allowed 153.5 rushing yards per game, one of the worst marks in the league. This matchup gives Robinson a strong opportunity to score.
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6. J.K. Dobbins (Los Angeles Chargers) – Anytime TD (-120 Fliff)
- After returning from a brief two-game TD drought, Dobbins has found the end zone in three of his last four games, making him a prime candidate to score again.
- The Chargers have shown they’re willing to give him the ball 20+ times per game, and his volume alone makes him a strong TD pick.
- Matchup: The Los Angeles Chargers face the Arizona Cardinals, who allow 153.5 rushing yards per game, making this a favorable matchup for Dobbins to find the end zone.
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